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POPSFaulty Assumptions Could Be Inflating the Projections of Uninsured Americans
Clouding future projections of uninsured are tricky methods of counting them today. Even though legislation won't cover many of them, illegal immigrants are especially difficult to enumerate: Few raise their hands to be counted. Prof. Gruber estimates they make up about 13% of the uninsured today, or nearly six million people of that 45 million number. Of the rest, some people are eligible for health insurance but don't know it and many can afford it but don't want it. About 43% of uninsured non-elderly adults have incomes greater than 2.5 times the poverty level, according to a report released Tuesday by the business-backed Employment Policies Institute. Meanwhile, Census's state-by-state counts of the uninsured tend to be much higher than state surveys, which have their own flaws. For instance, some don't reach people without landline phones. The national agency assumes that people who don't answer its health-care questions are much more likely to be uninsured.
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