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The argument that global warming stopped in 1998 is making a comeback, riding on the coat-tails of global cooling since January 2007. Last year, a paper in the Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society examined this argument. Now the author Robert Fawcett has co-published an updated version of the paper with fellow scientist David Jones at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. It takes a similar approach to my original treatment of the subject, although in a more rigorous, peer-reviewed fashion.

As we've discussed before, temperature data shows year-to-year variations independent of long term warming or cooling trends. Volcanoes cause temporary cooling over several years while the El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle lasts around 4 to 5 years.

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