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arifsalifollowshare
5-16-2007 10:52 PM
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7 Comments   | Add a Comment
5-17-2007 10:21 AM
invictus
Uh... I hope I'm not one of those unfortunate people. Sounds spooky.
5-17-2007 11:43 AM
ouyangwulong
Actually, a mathematical explanation for this, and why it seems to defy the laws of probability as they are conventionally understood can be found in the equation for the Binomial Distribution of Probability. (I'll try to find an example to clip.)

Basically, this illustrates how, when flipping a large number of coins together, and repeatedly, some coins tend to flip mostly heads, as a compensation for other coins which start to flip mostly tails. This way, although the probability on the individual level seems to be violated, when distributed over the entire system, it is preserved.

Another way to put it would be this way: I may have very small chances of being struck by lightening, but if...
5-17-2007 12:01 PM
ouyangwulong
For those of you interested, I have clipped the equation for the Binomial Distribution of Probability here.
5-17-2007 12:46 PM
arifsali
I think there's also a famous experiment suggesting the same where a machine shows a "thinking" mind due to probabilities (or I may be way off here). If I recall correctly, Russel Targ talks about it in his Limitless Mind.
5-17-2007 12:58 PM
ouyangwulong
Probabilistic determinism, which you are talking about with Targ, is related, but draws broader conclusions. Some go so far as to use the theory as an argument against free will, which I don't quite find persuasive. On the other hand, it does seem much closer to explaining our world than its predecessor, Causal Determinism.

However, when it comes to investigating the subtle causations of seemingly random events, both can prove very useful. I have always believed it is a mistake to dismiss anything as happening for "no reason in particular" (As many are often prone to do in their daily lives.)
5-17-2007 1:02 PM
ouyangwulong
Actually, though, in speaking of causation and Targ, both lead to very interesting conclusions about the subtle relationships that, though unseen and unnoticed, knit our reality together. (Especially Targ's work on remote viewing.)
5-17-2007 6:03 PM
ericskiff
This clip was featured on today's clipiversity video podcast. Thanks for the great clip - I'm definitely going to read a bit more into the comments here, seems like very interesting stuff!
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