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invictusfollowshare
8-1-2006 6:43 PM
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8-1-2006 7:06 PM
willhelm
I heard Neil deGrasse Tyson say on Nova Science podcast there was a strong likelyhood that this NEO could hit in the Pacific Ocean and send a 300 foot tsunami toward California. He may have been talking about another NEO, but his 30 year timeframe leads me to believe it the one listed in this clip.
8-1-2006 8:00 PM
invictus
It's probably Apophis, I suppose. Some astronomers believe there is a high likelihood for a collision with the earth during its passage in 2036 (though many others say the probability is very low). But I don't know if it's possible to calculate the orbit so accurately and define the area of impact exactly. Pacific seems as a good candidate because of the huge area it covers, but I suppose, with a few hours delay it could strike to Atlantic, Africa or any other place. But wherever the impact occurs, it potentially effects every continent and every part of the world. A total nightmare.
8-1-2006 11:08 PM
willhelm
But I don't know if it's possible to calculate the orbit so accurately and define the area of impact exactly.
That did occur to me when I heard it , but he IS Neil deGrasse Tyson and I barely passed Physics. ( college physics that is, high school physics was a breeze).
8-28-2009 3:37 PM
drharp
I wonder...who can calculate Earth's next cataclysmic impact, and where it may strike? A NEO almost the size of Earth is beyond our normal expectations of NEOs. Our availing cosmos translates; ...even ten times the size of your planet Earth...a cataclysmic impact is ever probable...
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