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5-7-2008 12:44 PM
BobbyRutan
Yeah, and 25% of republicans voted against McCain.

Both parties will attract more of their traditional base as the November election approaches.

Independents are critical.
5-7-2008 12:53 PM
n2sooners
Actually, in the polls I have seen it is more like 10-15% will vote for the democrat over McCain depending on which democrat it is.
5-7-2008 2:06 PM
willhelm
These numbers are probably reflect more polarity since the nomination process is still going on. Republicans can be pretty divided during the nominating process as well. Furthermore, what these numbers are leaving out is the Conservative base, which is larger than the Liberal base, who might just not vote at all given that McCain is the candidate.

I do, however, believe McCain has a strong inside track to getting a majority of moderates. This will be an unconventional election, surely.
5-7-2008 2:44 PM
jatfla
A *whole* lot is going to depend on who McCain chooses for VP. I really hope it's not an unknown.
5-7-2008 4:53 PM
BobbyRutan
I'm sure McCain is waiting to know for certain who the Democratic candidate is before choosing his VP. There would be different regional considerations.
5-7-2008 5:04 PM
n2sooners
These numbers are probably reflect more polarity since the nomination process is still going on
They usually are inflated during the primary, but these are record high numbers.

the Conservative base, which is larger than the Liberal base
I thought it was the other way around and that more people were democrat or democrat leaning than republican or republican leaning. I haven't seen those numbers in a while though, so anything could have happened.

As for McCain's VP, he may be waiting, but I don't think it will matter so much who the democrat nominee is as it will depend on who he thinks he needs more, moderates or the conservative base. Polls show him losing...
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5-7-2008 5:14 PM
BobbyRutan
Personally, I don't believe Obama is even considering Hillary. Some pundits did make good observations that it may serve him well to consider someone from the Clinton camp. Otherwise, I have no idea who he is considering.
5-7-2008 8:09 PM
willhelm
I thought it was the other way around and that more people were
democrat or democrat leaning than republican or republican leaning. I
What I meant was those who turn out. I do not know whose base is larger. However, I think history shows that there is traditionally a much larger turn-out from the Republican base than there is the Democratic base. That is why I think motivation to turn-out for the Republican base is crucial to who wins.
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