@fredwilson on speculating on private companies


	@fredwilson on speculating on private companies

mobilediner

8-30-2009 7:31 PM

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tags:

fred wilson, robert scoble, twitter

mobilediner says:

Fred Wilson takes a wider look at Robert Scoble's recent claim that Twitter is worth $5 Billion.

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/4246796c-e08e-4ac3-9b30-ceeb4ebccdfb/B46E94CE-0B66-4E55-9BB0-609A0CD3960E/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/is-speculating-on-what-private-companies-are-worth-a-good-idea.html" href="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/is-speculating-on-what-private-companies-are-worth-a-good-idea.html" style="font-size: 11px;">www.avc.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/is-speculating-on-what-private-companies-are-worth-a-good-idea.html"><H2 id="disqus_post_title">Is Speculating On What Private Companies Are Worth A Good Idea?</H2></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/is-speculating-on-what-private-companies-are-worth-a-good-idea.html">Robert Scoble wrote a post at 4am on the road in Indianapolis last night proclaiming that <A href="http://scobleizer.posterous.com/why-twitter-is-underhyped-and-is-probably-wor">Twitter is "probably worth $5bn to $10bn</A>." </blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/is-speculating-on-what-private-companies-are-worth-a-good-idea.html">Is all this speculation good or bad? I'm honestly not sure.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/is-speculating-on-what-private-companies-are-worth-a-good-idea.html"><P>But I think all the focus on what a company is worth can be bad. These companies are private for a reason. Most of them aren't mature enough to be public companies. They often don't have full management teams and some don't even have revenues. The focus inside these companies needs to be on building the company, the product, and the business. And endless discussions about what their company is worth can be terribly distracting.</P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/is-speculating-on-what-private-companies-are-worth-a-good-idea.html"><P>At the end of the day, this speculation about what companies are worth is useful if everyone keeps it in context. It's a lot like fantasy baseball. Your team might be doing great, but at the end of the day, you really don't own a major league baseball team. It's just a game.</P></blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;">&nbsp;</td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/B46E94CE-0B66-4E55-9BB0-609A0CD3960E/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content6.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>

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