Gallup admits: it only releases likely voter results when they favor McCain!

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	Gallup admits: it only releases likely voter results when they favor McCain!

hitchhiker08

9-16-2008 12:03 AM

299 views

tags:

gallup, research, us, presidential elections, mccain, obama, conventions

hitchhiker08 says:

Shucks - then who do you bellieve?!

2 Comments |

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9-16-2008 1:12 AM

The REAL Napster

What a crock. Gallup has been doing statisticas and polling for a good 70 years now. And if you bother to look back at the archives they cleary show Obama poll releases as well, when he was ahead at 50%.

DailyKOS is NOT a poll/statistical organization. And never will be.

9-16-2008 10:39 AM

cptenaud

All polls are a crock. If you don't poll everybody. Then you only have a poll of a section of society.

Example;; If I make a poll in Harlem between Obama and McCain. Who would get the most votes?

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/e76b900e-3ec4-41c2-ab64-33f2c67a8b52/B13455F2-EBD7-47AE-9645-1B88FD70158C/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244" href="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244" style="font-size: 11px;">www.dailykos.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244"><H2><SPAN class="diaryTitle">Gallup admits: it only releases likely voter results when they favor McCain!</SPAN> </H2></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244"><P>The Gallup Daily Presidential tracking poll, which many of us follow more closely than we should, reports results based on a survey of registered voters.  At some point in the future, Gallup is going to switch to likely voters for the tracking poll, but we don't know exactly when.</P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244"><UL class="catcom"><li style="margin-left:16px;padding-left: 0px;"><A href="http://Dick-Diver.dailykos.com/">Dick Diver's diary</A> ::  :: </LI><li style="margin-left:16px;padding-left: 0px;"> </LI></UL></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244"><P><A href="http://www.pollster.com/blogs/us_mccain_54_obama_44_usatoday.php">That poll</A>, taken in the three days immediately following the Republican National Convention, showed by far the largest national lead McCain has ever had in any poll (54-44 among likely voters), and generated a tremendous amount of attention.  It helped drive the buzz for all of last week -- that McCain got a huge bounce from his convention, that Palin was a game-changer, that Obama was in big trouble, etc.</P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244"><STRONG>We feel that the trends among registered voters give us the best way to track election preferences in our daily poll,</STRONG></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/15/74531/5933/788/599244"><P>In other words, Gallup is admitting the following:</P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; 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