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merriefollowshare
10-24-2008 7:33 PM
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merrie says:
Subprime mortgages were just the beginning.

The dollar also plunged along the way against most global currencies, notably the euro, as the bottom chart illustrates.

The dollar price of oil and the dollar-euro exchange rate are probably the two most important prices in the world. They represent a huge share of global commerce, sending signals that shape trade and capital flows. When those two prices move up and down so sharply in so short a time -- based more on fear and expectations than on economic realities -- they distort price signals and can lead to a misallocation of resources.

Commodity prices have now fallen back to Earth, as the reality of global recession hits home and the Fed can't ease much further. Meanwhile, the euro has fallen from the stratosphere as Europe heads into recession and the dollar becomes a safer haven in a world of fear.
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10-24-2008 7:36 PM
merrie
. . . . . But even as this bubble recedes, its consequences are hurting those countries and investors who bet on or benefited from higher prices. That includes emerging markets that are largely commodity plays, such as Russia and the Persian Gulf countries. Within the U.S., this includes the farm belt and ethanol alley in the Midwest. The ethanol lobby is already floating the prospect of a taxpayer bailout, as if it wasn't floating on taxpayer subsidies already. Hong Kong conglomerate Citic Pacific and a pair of Chinese companies may have lost hundreds of millions on faulty currency bets. Hedge funds that gambled on commodities or a weaker greenback have had to cover their bets and deleverag...
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