'Web-bot project' makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse


	'Web-bot project' makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse

JICWyllie

9-28-2009 3:37 AM

108 views

tags:

1-extinction, 1-self signifying, 1-technology, 2-risks, 3-forecast, 4-intl

JICWyllie says:

This is an example of drawing inferences from self signifying data. The problem with this one is that we can never know if it is true, since we won't be here if it is. We will know if it is false, though.

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/6729c107-baa7-45f5-a146-709d689d6e7d/7405ADF5-7785-43BC-BD76-5F1A03F5F21A/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html" href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html" style="font-size: 11px;">www.telegraph.co.uk</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html"><P>
Conspiracy theorists on the web have claimed that the bots <A target="_blank" href="http://doomsday2012webbot.blogspot.com/2009/05/doomsday-prediction-2012-web-bot.html">accurately 
  predicted the September 11 attacks</A> and the 2004 Boxing Day tsunami, and 
  that they say a cataclysm of some sort will devastate the planet on 21 
  December, 2012. 
</P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html"><P>
The software, similar to the “spiders” that search engines use to index web 
  pages, were originally developed in the 1990s to predict stock market 
  movements. 
</P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html"><P>
Its study of “web chatter” is said to give advance warnings of terrorist 
  attacks, and proponents claim that it successfully did so ahead of 11 
  September 2001. George Ure, one of two men behind the project, says that his 
  system predicted a “world-changing event” in the 60 to 90 days after June 
  2001. 
</P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html">Its latest and most sweeping prediction is that 21 December 2012 signals the 
  end of the world, </blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html"><P>
The bots crawl through relevant web pages, noting keywords and examining the 
  text around them. The theory is that this gives an insight into the “wisdom 
  of crowds”, as the thoughts of thousands of people are aggregated. 
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