Do anti-drug ads cause teenage drug use?


	Do anti-drug ads cause teenage drug use?

jklugman

1-3-2007 5:08 PM

463 views

tags:

statistics, teaching, graphs, charts, drugs, bush administration, politics

jklugman says:

Probably not, but they sure as hell don't reduce it either.

Note how the y-axis of the right chart is blown up so the decline in teen drug use looks to be of the same magnitude of the decline in the drug czar ad budget. But the decline in teen drug use is pretty modest, from 19.4 % to 14.9%.

Via Mobius at JewSchool

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/5ef5aa6c-d875-4923-ad4a-f06d0112e01f/71551C29-B702-40A0-BD87-890546BA2461/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml" href="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml" style="font-size: 11px;">www.ssdp.org</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml"><table background="undefined" bgcolor=""><tr><TD width="687" valign="top" height="51" bgcolor="%23787878"><A href="http://www.ssdp.org/"><IMG width="687" height="51" border="0" src="http://www.ssdp.org/images/header.jpg" /></A></TD></tr></table></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml"><P align="left" class="purpleheading">The National Institute on Drug Abuse says the Drug Czar’s ads may actually cause <STRONG><EM>more</EM></STRONG> teen drug use.  </P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml"><P align="left" class="purpleheading">Monitoring the Future’s data seems to support this conclusion.</P></blockquote><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content6.clipmarks.com/images/clip-icon.gif" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://s58.photobucket.com/albums/g252/joshtk76/?action=view&current=ssdp.jpg" href="http://s58.photobucket.com/albums/g252/joshtk76/?action=view&current=ssdp.jpg" style="font-size: 11px;">s58.photobucket.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://s58.photobucket.com/albums/g252/joshtk76/?action=view&current=ssdp.jpg"><div align="center"><img src="http://content7.clipmarks.com/blog_cache/s58.photobucket.com/img/B18C5926-4E4B-4D76-9B15-23DE60B182A8" alt="image" /></div></blockquote><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content8.clipmarks.com/images/clip-icon.gif" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml" href="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml" style="font-size: 11px;">www.ssdp.org</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml"><P align="left" class="purpleheading">
When fewer teens are exposed to the Drug Czar’s offensive ads, fewer teens try drugs.  </P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml"><EM>Coincidence?</EM></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.ssdp.org/ads/mtf.shtml"><P align="left" class="style2">WARNING: While attempting to infer causation from the correlation between the Drug Czar’s ad budget and teen drug use may seem ridiculous, it is certainly no more absurd than the statistical gymnastics performed regularly by the Drug Czar and his staff.  The difference?  They use taxpayer dollars to fund their stretching.
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