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A Question for RealClimate
amgumen
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7
1-1-2008 9:43 PM
531 views
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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/1eae879b-0b12-4a65-a63c-2a898a482899/6EB0B50E-1458-4D80-A992-9FD38DC69BC0/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000680a_question_for_realc.html" href="http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000680a_question_for_realc.html" style="font-size: 11px;">sciencepolicy.colorado.edu</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000680a_question_for_realc.html">What behavior of the climate system could hypothetically be observed over the next 1, 5, 10 years that would be <I>inconsistent</I> with the current consensus on climate change? My focus is on extreme events like floods and hurricanes, so please consider those, but consider any other climate metric or phenomena you think important as well for answering this question. Ideally, a response would focus on more than just sea level rise and global average temperature, but if these are the only metrics that are relevant here that too would be very interesting to know.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000680a_question_for_realc.html"> it seems to me that give the incredible number of model studies <I>any observed behavior</I> of the climate system is “consistent with” some model study that has been published somewhere by somebody.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000680a_question_for_realc.html">I have often seen claims about “consistency” but never a discussion of what observed behavior of the climate system would be "inconsistent with" current expectations.</blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;"> </td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/6EB0B50E-1458-4D80-A992-9FD38DC69BC0/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content8.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>
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