ouyangwulong says: Although I can appreciate what he is trying to do... simultaneously keep both the US and Al Qaeda from bombing his country, I think Musharraf is loosing his grip. A lot of these scenes seem very familiar. I watched them happen in Nepal as King Gyanendra struggled, and ultimately failed, to keep control of Nepal. Musharraf's government feels very close to a dangerous tipping point. This should be a big concern for everybody, because the results will leave no one unaffected. Making sure Pakistan remains stable and progressive should be a first-class diplomatic priority for all of the world. Making sure Pakistan remains stable and progressive should be a first-class diplomatic priority for all of the world.Just curious, what is the definition of "progressive" as applied here? Regardless, your assessment of the importance of stability in the nation demands a pop. "Musharraf assured the military that no one would be able to foment instability." Sounds like famous last words. In a revolution, often the dictator is the last to know. He didn't bother to address the people, he primarily made an attempt to convince the military, that his authority was undiminished, without saying that the military IS his authority. As with many dictators, without military support, he can be executed as the scapegoat for any problems that may be facing a new regime, If he can survive long enough to have a trial. It may not be a question of Justice, but an attempt to quell a the anger of a population that has been oppressed. A country with Pakistan's population, contains ... Pakistan has been almost ungovernable since its inception. A seethy mass of discontent, ineq oops: imeq Oh hell, perhaps I'll try later Pokkets: Actually this is Musharraf's Achilles heel. He's balancing the US vs Al Qaeda equation, but losing the support of his generals with their own agendas. Historically, dictatorships do very poorly at multi-tasking. The whole point of being a dictator is that you don't have to please everyone, so when he starts trying to convince or persuade, all he is doing is showing weakness. And military coups love weakness... Cniq-Cniq: The comment was off the cuff, but I'll propose a couple of foreign policy goals that the administration could set for dealing with Pakistan... (stable and progressive generally would describe our ideal allies, but towards what?) 1. First and foremost, a stable go... Socratoad! I'm shocked! Do we need an intervention? Remember: Friends don't let Friends Drink and Clip! Numbers 2-5 are good criteria to measure a "progressive" state, but what kind of grade would you give Pakistan by this standard? While I would instead term engagement with the country as a marriage of necessity, your point on the need for her to remain stable is quite correct. Well, since we're talking about progress, I would grade Pakistan in terms of forward motion. (Now in physics they might tell you that all motion is forward motion, but I'd like to think in politics we can definitely see some things as moving backwards.) One of the reasons I'll be sad to see Musharraf go is because for all his short commings, he has not let the country slip too far back. (And considering that it is the neighbor of Afghanistan where most of Al Qaeda and the Taliban relocated to, then there is a long way back for it to slip!) So if an F means invade now, and if an A is "Mission Accomplished" I would give Pakistan a C+ Early Musharraf gets a B- from me for holding back the ti... The problem with Musharraf is he being a half assed dictator. If you want to be a dictator you have to rule with an iron fist. Fear is what Musharraf needs to foster to be able to retain power and control over his country. It is what made Stalin, Mao, and many other dictators so effective in the past. Don't get me wrong I would never want to live in that kind of country but it seems to be a necessity if you wish to rule with absolute power. You hit the nail on the head with that one. Of all the dictators out there, Musharraf would probably be the most pleasant person to have a cup of tea with... But that doesn't make him good at what he does, and unfortunately it means his time is pretty much up. I hope that Pakistan gets something better in his place, but I'm not holding my breath! |
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