1997 National Intelligence Council report on 2010


	1997 National Intelligence Council report on 2010

jklugman

11-20-2008 11:21 PM

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jklugman says:

The perils of extrapolating 1997 developments to 13 years.

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/ce76929a-436a-4422-8d81-6bc4c2368828/6024AB09-DF31-4B7A-9F20-E6C8231AC3D9/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html" href="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html" style="font-size: 11px;">www.dni.gov</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html">We project 
                        real growth in per capita income of over 2 percent per 
                        year between now and 2010. </blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html"><I>The erosion in the authority of the 
                        central Russian government that has occurred will not 
                        be easily reversed</I> as regions will want to retain 
                        the power they have accumulated,</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html">The next 15 
                        years will witness the <I>transformation of North Korea 
                        and resulting elimination of military tensions on the 
                        peninsula.</I></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html">We anticipate a de 
                        facto--if not de jure--Palestinian State by 2010.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html">The region is the hotspot for proliferation 
                        of the technology needed to develop WMD.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html">Pursuing WMD capabilities for terror, 
                        intimidation, and deterrence will be the norm during this 
                        time frame.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html">In contrast, 
                        South Africa probably will be a successful regional leader, 
                        able to use diplomatic, political, economic and military 
                        leverage to help underwrite order in southern Africa.</blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;">&nbsp;</td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/6024AB09-DF31-4B7A-9F20-E6C8231AC3D9/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content9.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>

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