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recommendations for clear thinking
anpl32
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6
4-2-2007 4:50 PM
523 views
tags:
carl sagan
,
thinking
,
clear
,
recommendations
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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/7eb2fdf3-fef5-4d66-aeaf-f21b02edf20e/4B313B02-C59D-4A5B-8886-CAA5E64322DC/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://hotokenohebi.blogspot.com/2005/09/recommendations.html" href="http://hotokenohebi.blogspot.com/2005/09/recommendations.html" style="font-size: 11px;">hotokenohebi.blogspot.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://hotokenohebi.blogspot.com/2005/09/recommendations.html">I'm a Carl Sagan fan. He set out a collection of recommendations for<BR /><DIV>clear thinking:</DIV><BR /><BR />•Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the facts<BR />•Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable<BR />proponents of all points of view.<BR />•Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science there are no<BR />"authorities").<BR />•Spin more than one hypothesis - don't simply run with the first idea<BR />that caught your fancy.<BR />•Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it's yours.<BR />•Quantify, wherever possible.<BR />•If there is a chain of argument every link in the chain must work.<BR />•"Occam's razor" - if there are two hypothesis that explain the data<BR />equally well choose the simpler.<BR />•Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be falsified<BR />(shown to be false by some unambiguous test). In other words, it is<BR />testable? Can others duplicate the experiment and get the same result?</blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;"> </td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/4B313B02-C59D-4A5B-8886-CAA5E64322DC/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content9.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>
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