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猜猜开心的真实流量有多少?
neoit
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8-22-2008 8:54 AM
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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/4c1521d7-dc36-49a1-b919-da11f55e9504/373C56AB-7A45-4AA3-9E73-2C0498876EFE/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.5gme.com/space-5049-do-blog-id-16063.html" href="http://www.5gme.com/space-5049-do-blog-id-16063.html" style="font-size: 11px;">www.5gme.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.5gme.com/space-5049-do-blog-id-16063.html"><DIV class="title"> <H1>猜猜开心的真实流量有多少?</H1> 1小时前</DIV></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.5gme.com/space-5049-do-blog-id-16063.html"><DIV>很多朋友说开心网的alexa数据作弊了,我没有内线消息,不清楚开心有没有主观作弊,或者被陷害作弊,还是根本没有作弊,不过我对这个问题并不关心。仅仅从我个人的角度推测一下开心网站的流量。</DIV><BR /><DIV>我比较了解软件行业的网站流量,其中CSDN是最大的,每天真实流量在600万PV左右。而CSDN前段时间刚被封锁了10天,所以alexa排名有所下降,不过昨天当日排名是550名,开始回升了。那么我可以用CSDN作为一个衡量标准:就是alexa排名在500-700名之间的网站流量大致不超过600万PV。</DIV><BR /><DIV>然后看看开心的alexa数据,当日排名356名,周排名430名,看起来排名并不比CSDN高很多。两者的差距不过100多名,因此开心的真实流量应该不到1000万PV,我假设他是900万PV。</DIV><BR /><DIV>我们看CSDN的用户到达率是0.166%,而开心是0.143%,就是说每天访问CSDN的人比访问开心网的人要多一些;而CSDN每用户PV是3.9,而开心的每用户PV是惊人的45!</DIV><BR /><DIV>开心的900万PV/45= 20万独立IP! 就是说开心网每天独立IP不过20万而已。20万独立IP是什么概念呢?我的JavaEye网站是一个高端的软件开发者垂直社区,已经非常小众了,现在每天的独立IP已经超过5万了,而事实上目前开心网在大城市的白领当中非常普及,因此我相信一个程序员在上JavaEye网站的同时,起码有4个小白领在上开心网。</DIV><BR /><DIV>通过上面这些数据推测,我觉得开心网每天20万独立IP,900万PV这个数据看起来并不夸张,和我们对开心的直观印象相比,是有比较高的吻合度的。至于开心每用户PV高达45也不是特别奇怪,web game本身就会带来这么高的刷屏率。</DIV><BR /><DIV>因此从开心的alexa数据来看,并不夸张,看起来十分合理,甚至显得有点低调,至于有没有作弊,大家仁者见仁,智者见智吧。</DIV></blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;"> </td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/373C56AB-7A45-4AA3-9E73-2C0498876EFE/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content7.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>
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