 merrie says: Overall, Clinton leads McCain by 3.1% in the RCP General Election Average, while Obama leads McCain by 0.9%. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows John McCain now leads Barack Obama 48% to 42%. On Monday, immediately before the press conference held by Obama’s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright, the candidates were tied at 46%. New Rasmussen Reports polling released today shows that just 32% of voters believe Obama was surprised by Wright’s comments. Most say it’s at least somewhat likely that Obama shares some of Wright’s controversial views. Against Hillary Clinton, McCain now attracts 45% of the vote while Clinton earns 44%. On the morning of Wright’s press conference, Obama did three points better than Clinton against McCain. Now, Clinton outperforms Obama by five ... great article, wiccantexan thanks for the link This whole thing is making me dizzy; I just cannot keep up. Keep lots of popcorn handy, makes it much more entertaining. Yes, it's intriguing, but not much has changed. The comparisons of either candidate to McCain - against whom they have not yet begun to campaign - are awfully early. What it's about right now is delegates; Obama leads. A small-margin Clinton win or tie in Indiana means Obama has held her off. He is gaining ground again in N. Carolina, and new superdelegates are committing to him at a rate that must be pretty close to one a day day. So, at the moment, his lead is pretty steadily increasing. My point about Indiana being that a 50-50 tie gives them the same number of delegates, thus preserving Obama's substantial lead. Even a 55-45 Clinton win would not net her more than a handful of delegates, considering he'd still get 45% of them. |
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