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Why there's no "Bradley effect" in this election
georgecf
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1
11-4-2008 5:01 AM
149 views
tags:
obama
,
bradley
,
mccain
,
election
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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/b7e79a45-f76f-4a8b-8275-1b963ff6d820/28C2E5AE-8BFF-4743-8A56-412970B62A16/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/editorials/la-ed-bradley4-2008nov04,0,738332.story" href="http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/editorials/la-ed-bradley4-2008nov04,0,738332.story" style="font-size: 11px;">www.latimes.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/editorials/la-ed-bradley4-2008nov04,0,738332.story"><DIV>Regarding today's election, there are two more reasons to doubt whether the Bradley effect, if it exists, will play much of a role. First, those who oppose Barack Obama because of his race can certainly find other ways to dress that up for a pollster. There are, after all, ample reasons to support John McCain, whether because of his experience -- or Obama's lack thereof -- or his positions on issues from Iraq to taxes. Voters' inclinations thus should be captured accurately, even if their motivations might not be. Second, this election may feature a jump in the number of younger voters who cast ballots. They appear to tilt heavily toward Obama and are more likely to rely on cellphones, which pollsters have yet to figure out how to contact. Thus any racists who conceal themselves from pollsters may be counterbalanced by voters who are simply unavailable to them.</DIV></blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;"> </td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/28C2E5AE-8BFF-4743-8A56-412970B62A16/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content9.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>
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