The 6 Basic Mistakes We Make In Thinking


	The 6 Basic Mistakes We Make In Thinking

deusdiabolus

10-4-2009 11:26 PM

218 views

deusdiabolus says:

The original article ties these points into views on alternative health care, but they apply to all situations.

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/638e4449-6029-4cdb-93a6-b2b6ac735d48/1C24E0EE-D337-4A40-9A44-2C60CB6AD4AA/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html" href="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html" style="font-size: 11px;">skepticalob.blogspot.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html">Mistake #1: We prefer stories to statistics. Stories are easy to understand; statistics are hard.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html">Mistake #2: We seek to confirm our opinions, not challenge them.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html">Mistake #3: Lay people often do not understand chance and coincidence. Most people have no idea of incidence of various risks.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html">Mistake #4: Our personal perceptions about what is happening are often wrong.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html">Mistake #5: We tend to oversimplify our thinking. Oversimplification is easy; reality is hard.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html">Mistake #6: Our memories are often inaccurate. This has actually been studied quite extensively.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://skepticalob.blogspot.com/2009/09/dont-believe-everything-you-think.html"> In other words, there was a time when reasoning from what "makes sense" was the only thing that we had. Now those methods have been superceded by other, more accurate methods, but some people are still stuck in the past.</blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;">&nbsp;</td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/1C24E0EE-D337-4A40-9A44-2C60CB6AD4AA/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content6.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>

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