Random Walk Considerations in Trading


	Random Walk Considerations in Trading

proftrader

3-10-2008 7:22 PM

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proftrader says:

Perhaps an interesting discussion about how if any inluence random walk has on the markets and on trading

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/58528dc6-c7dc-405d-afdc-026bbf405b82/186A904F-B504-46EE-B88A-1680070587FD/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.mysharetrading.com/2008/03/10/random-walk-traders-perspective.htm" href="http://www.mysharetrading.com/2008/03/10/random-walk-traders-perspective.htm" style="font-size: 11px;">www.mysharetrading.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.mysharetrading.com/2008/03/10/random-walk-traders-perspective.htm"><H2 class="with-tabs">Random Walk From a Trader’s Perspective</H2></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.mysharetrading.com/2008/03/10/random-walk-traders-perspective.htm"><P>There is a book out there about “Random Walk Theory”. I haven’t read anything about it but I would presume that the book would shoot down any prospect of a predictable market theorem. </P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.mysharetrading.com/2008/03/10/random-walk-traders-perspective.htm"><P>I was at a summit recently and I was discussing with one fellow about trading the markets. He was in the Random Walk school of thought. He believed that the markets were really truly random. But is that really true? If it were random, how can traders possibly extract a living out of the market? How can traders use tools like technical and fundamental analysis to a certain extent predict future movements of the market? (Actually, “predict” isn’t a good word – really I believe trader’s are weighing up the odds whenever they use technical or fundamental analysis. </P></blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;">&nbsp;</td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/186A904F-B504-46EE-B88A-1680070587FD/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content8.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>

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